Tuesday, July 17, 2007

If You Can Envision Taiwan Falling Without U.S. Intervention, You Should Be Able To Envision Israel Falling Without One Too


The People’s Republic of China (PRC) wants Taiwan. The U.S. has a treaty that says it will defend Taiwan from attack.

If push comes to shove, will the U.S. really defend Taiwan, or will it let Taiwan fall?

If the U.S. lets Taiwan fall, all similar U.S. treaties could be considered worthless. If the U.S. defends Taiwan, it will be a huge mess—a mess the people of the U.S. might not be willing to stomach.

Fortunately, while the PRC gets economically and militarily stronger, they are also preoccupied preparing for the 2008 Olympics. Depending on the state of their economy, military readiness, and the political health of the Communist Party, sometime after 2008—maybe even a decade or two later—the status of Taiwan will undoubtedly create renewed global tension.

How does this relate to Israel?

Friends who reject the idea that Israel must be larger to be viable, often say, “but the U.S. will ALWAYS be there to support Israel.”

They simply can’t envision a world in which the U.S. allows Israel to fall. Interestingly, many of these same folks also liken the U.S. involvement in Iraq to Vietnam.

Now recall that in 1967, the U.S. didn’t intercede to prevent the six-day war, a war Israel might have lost. The U.S. was in no position to intercede—because of Vietnam.

What will the U.S. not be in a position to do because of Iraq? Or some future military entanglement?

I hope the parallel is clear.

Israel must be stronger not weaker. It must be large enough to be independently viable, not the U.S. client state it is today.

As renewed efforts to force an ill-conceived two-state solution are thrust upon Israel in the coming months, keep the following in mind:

If you can envision Taiwan falling without a U.S. intervention, you should be able to envision Israel falling without one too.

--David Naggar

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